Modelling the nexus between foreign aid and economic growth: A case of afghanistan and egypt

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Modelling the nexus between foreign aid and economic growth: A case of afghanistan and egypt

Modelling the nexus between foreign aid and economic growth: A case of afghanistan and egypt

Author : Dr Ubaid Mushtaq

Year : 2021

Publisher : Ascociacion Internacional de Economia Aplicada

Source Title : Estudios de Economia Aplicada

Document Type :

Abstract

This paper tries to explore the existence of a long-run relationship between foreign aid and economic growth by using the data from the two highest foreign aid recipient countries. Using the annual time series data from 1965 to 2017 this study uses several econometric models such as Johansen and Juselius cointegration, Granger causality and vector autoregression to establish the long and short-run relationships among foreign aid inflows and economic growth while also considering the rate of growth in financial development and trade openness from both the countries. The empirical results suggest that there is no long-run relationship exists among foreign aid inflows and economic growth for both the countries. However, unidirectional causality running from foreign aid to economic growth is indicative in both countries. Therefore, the findings in this paper support the adequate need for foreign aid for effective economic growth amid an upright policy environment, related issues of conditionality and political stability. Our results are robust to independent, and control variables and estimation techniques are also on par with robustness.